Tuesday, July 14, 2009

Horn of Scope

I don't say I don't believe in supernatural phenomenons, these things are playing with our fear of not knowing, the incapability of explaining something, one of our senses howls in a nerve-wrecking way. Like a fatal error in our brain, desynchronization with input peripherals. I love that feeling, however you'll just lose it if you start chasing it. But it still remains the thought that you was a witness in something not many was before, and will be in the future.


But horoscope... Ok, let's just use a little math. The rules of statistics. If we simplify this system will call humanity, we can easily calculate the distribution of peoples between the 12 different zodiac signs (let's just talk about the most common horoscope). Supposed that every day the number of children born and amount of dieing people is equal each and every day (I mean equal between days). If we follow this idea we can tell that every twelfth human has the same sign, across the world. That means around one twelfth of  6.771 billion, that is 564 billion human being. Every sentence is written at least for that many people in a horoscope. A horoscope is good until let's say every tenth time tells the truth. Its still 56 billion people who needs to experience every single fact written down.


You probably will say that horoscope doesn't tells concrete facts of future, just some ideas on what you should expect. My answer: the most ambiguous the horoscope is the most loses it's audience, and horoscope, like many other crowd-manipulation tools are being kept alive by it's readers and listeners. So, let's take an example, if a horoscope tell you that you will go to vacation in this week, or you will get promotion (I haven't used "going to" by intention) than 56 billion people will go to vacation or will get promotion across the world, which means total chaos and bigger loss as a World War. 


That's not all, let's take a little bit look into the lineage of this nonsense. Horoscope was first created by astrologist on their living-provider's request. Yeah, because big invents weren't made daily nor monthly, they needed some solid support, so they "invented the future". Nowadays is the same, the only difference is that those who pay to someone to write horoscope knows the way that it's created.


The only thing remains is taking another little problem in it's existence (not that again). Nowadays almost in every newspaper, website, TV channel, radio you'll find some horoscope. But there's no standard (like ISO) in getting information for a horoscope, it's period of availability and so on. Which means that the more, the worst, because the bigger is the possibility of telling different things. Yes, it can happen multiple different things on that certain period of time, but what happens if... We just talked about the wide border of horoscope, so it's not hard to contravene. One tells you'll argue with your boss, the other promises a progress to a good relation with him, or a worst example, according to one you'll have a good day, but another warns you about an upcoming shitty day.


If you still doubt these lines imagine yourself in a situation where somebody offers you money just for writing 2-3 lines of horoscope per sign. What will you do? Don't tell me you'll start learning the effects of the standing of different planets to different signs, then getting their position by watching the sky for long hours, searching the Internet, making long calculations? No, you'll just improvise something. And believe me, everybody does the same (or just copies from something, another horoscope, maybe written 10 years ago). And if you're interested in something somebody just invented, no, not invented, lied to you, then go on, read them and dream on. I'll just pass

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